USING ARIMA MODEL FOR FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF PATIENTS WITH TUBERCULOSIS DISEASE IN WASSIT PROVINCE | ||
| AL-TAQANI | ||
| Article 1, Volume 27, Issue 5, December 2014, Pages 0-0 | ||
| Author | ||
| Alaa Husein Omran | ||
| Abstract | ||
| This paper aims to modeling of forecasting to the number of patients with Tuberculosis (T.B) disease in Wassit province, using the Box-Jenkins methodology during the period from January 2008 to December 2012. Through this a study, find that the most adequate model for the number of patients is ARIMA (1,0,0) or AR(1). Using the model, we forecast the numbers of patients for two- year period ahead from January 2013 to December 2014, these values has shown a harmonic direction according to the original values. | ||
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