Econometric analysis of demand function on rice imports in Iraq application ARDL model period (19980-2011) | ||
| journal of kerbala university | ||
| Article 1, Volume 12, Issue 2, June 2016, Pages 33-45 PDF (0 K) | ||
| Abstract | ||
| the research aims to release the reality of production and consumption of rice and estimate the demand function on imports of rice in Iraq as part of a dynamic application ARDL model. show that the increase in production is less than the increase of consumption and the cause of low production of rice due to lack of water in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers . As the incoming water to Iraq fell from 77 billion cubic meters annually during the eighties to 33 billion cubic meters per year during the first decade of the third millennium . The higher prices at the rate of 1 % offset by a decline in demand for rice imports by 13% , while the gross domestic product, a teacher signal (LGDP) positive and reflecting relationship between this variable and variable demand for imports of rice. , And the change of GDP at a rate of 1 % increase in the demand for imports of rice by 38 % in the short term . The results showed that higher prices at the rate of 1 % offset by a decline in demand for imports of rice in the long -term rate ( 24%) , and the GDP change rate of 1 % increase in the demand for imports of rice by 77% | ||
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