178/5000 Predict the value of reliability of systems Blur tethered in parallel depending on the matrix Markov Blur and used to predict the status of the power transfer in Iraq, Central Zone System | ||
| Journal of Administration and Economics | ||
| Article 1, Volume 0, Issue 100, September 2018, Pages 244-255 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Abeer Jabbar Al-Rkabey; Zeainh Yavu Abdul Qadir Ao | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The research consists of studying the times of Fuzzy failure system and Estimate the fuzzy reliability for each components of components system with (0.1, 0.5 ,0.9 )degree of membership function and taking out the estimated value of fuzzy system reliability and benefits of it to form fuzzy Markov Matrix by depending on binomial distribution for latter periods of time and applies on transforming electricity system in Iraq for middle district which consists of twelve (12)stations with parral system , however it is estimated the fuzzy system reliability for each station of system stations and estimated the fuzzy reliability for the system .And for predicating the system condition for latter periods ,it is used Markov matrix which consists of twelve conditions (states) probably the system goes through according to number of system components under searching during the time of generating or (operating )and used Mat Lab system which designs for searching and through it , we reach (conclude) that fuzzy increases by increasing α and decreases when interference stations decreased in work within the time of operating system ,and to help the system to work in high proficiency (degree) the all stations should continue working during the times of operating because if one of the station stops from working ,it will cause to decrease of the value of fuzzy system reliability which reaches in most cases to 0.1 ,we suggest to increase the number of stations and connect them with other stations to provide commercial and trading districts with extra stations because the immediate reliability system will be decrease from 0.9 to 0.5 that refers to the half of products after passing ten periods of time which leads us to put a plan to increase numbers of stations within the system to double to remove deficiency needs which will happen in future in production power of transforming electricity system of the middle district in Iraq . | ||
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