Dynamic analysis of unemployment in Iraq for the years (1990-2010) | ||
| Economic Sciences | ||
| Article 1, Volume 10, Issue 37, June 2015, Pages 1-32 PDF (0 K) | ||
| Authors | ||
| Prof.Dr.Zahra H. Abbas; Ashwaq Oda Jabbar | ||
| Abstract | ||
| We have addressed the study of the phenomenon of unemployment in Iraq by focusing on the underlying government policies and advocating economic and determine the mechanisms in place within the development program. Assuming the economic development process is the accumulation of material has been studied from the standpoint of the availability of jobs the fact that the contribution of this paper has been through the test of the relationship between the growth rate of real GDP and the unemployment rate in the short and long term , through ways of measuring economic time series analysis using cointegration and error correction model and then prove the existence of a synchronous integration . And coupling all of that to build an econometrics model for the unemployment rate , has been through the study of the most important economic and social changes that enable mitigation of the size of unemployment in the short and long term in light of the goals of economic development, pre-set a real GDP and the money supply and the inflation rate and the rate of active population, and it is consistent with the availability of information and time series from 1990 to 2010. The method of error correction (VECM) was used in the study of the econometrics model , the results has been reached of the study can be considered valid in view of the statistical tests and the findings of the dynamic analysis technique which does not neglect the hypothesis of the stability of time-series, which is the essence of the econometrics studies . | ||
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